Concerns over Coronavirus

JabbaPapa

Member
There has been a dramatic fall in the new cases number in Italy today -- it's down from 3,815 yesterday to 1,648 today (down 57%) -- that's lower than any daily number since 10th March.
 

JabbaPapa

Member
Whilst both the number of new cases in Italy and the variation number in positive cases have risen over the past two days from previous lows, the number of recoveries from the disease has in the past few days started to rise dramatically.

Not out of the woods yet by far ; but it's quite clear that the peak has been passed.
 

JabbaPapa

Member
For the first time, the number of recoveries in Italy is more or less double the number of deceased, or just a small number short of double.

The daily variation in the number of active cases has been getting closer and closer to zero, and it can only be a short while before it descends into negative numbers -- even though the daily number of new cases is still at about +3,000/day ...
 

JabbaPapa

Member
There has been a truly massive daily decrease of over 3,000 in the number of active cases in Italy -- from an day-to-day increase of about +4,700 in the number of recoveries !!

That's still over 100,000 active cases, but it's the most positive sign I've seen so far.
 

JabbaPapa

Member
The number of recovered in Italy is now over 3x the number of deceased.

It is also larger than the number of current positive cases.
 

JabbaPapa

Member
From 15th June onwards, the UK/France and France/Switzerland borders will be open -- so at that point, the first sections of the Francigena should be open again (although the hostelries along the way might not always be so until July or later).

OTOH, it is very possible, from reports I've seen in the Italian and Swiss press on developments in Brussels, that the Spanish and Italian borders may remain closed to foreigners beyond June 15th, even as the rest of Europe opens up.
 

JabbaPapa

Member
Oh well -- from June 8th, anyone entering the UK from abroad, including UK nationals, will be subjected to a 14-day quarantine, except for those traveling from Eire, Isle of Man, or the Channel Islands.

Consequently, a 14-day quarantine measure starting on the same date will be imposed upon those entering France from the UK, and for as long as the UK quarantine measures shall persist.
 
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